E27: What’s Next for the U.S. Economy?
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The new U.S. administration has moved apace in its first couple months with a full slate of executive orders. Amid all the action, policy uncertainty remains high, leaving C-suite executives and consumers alike wondering whether to make big expenditures now — or to wait and see how the policies unfold.
In this episode, Head of Citi Research Lucy Baldwin talks to Chief Economist Nathan Sheets about how his view on the U.S. and global economy has evolved since the year-end, and what he sees in store from here — touching on tariffs, tax cut extensions, deregulation, deficit reductions, and the direction of “animal spirits”.
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Lucy Baldwin, Head of Citi Research
Lucy Baldwin is a Managing Director and Global Head of Citi Research. She is responsible for managing Citi’s global independent research across all asset classes. Lucy joined Citigroup in April 2021 from Credit Suisse, where she was Global Head of Equity Sales. Prior to Credit Suisse, she was at Bank of America as Head of European Equity Sales (2015-2019), and at Goldman Sachs as a Director of European Equity Research and in a variety of research analyst roles (2006-2015). Lucy started her career at Cazenove as an equity research analyst covering the building materials sector. She graduated from the University of Birmingham in Economics. Lucy serves as a member of Council for the University of Birmingham and sits on the Investment Sub-committee. Additionally, she is a member of the Advisory Council for the Mossavar-Rahmani Centre for Business and Government at the Harvard Kennedy School.
Nathan Sheets, Chief Economist, Citi
Nathan Sheets, Ph.D., is Chief Economist at Citi. In this role, Nathan leads Citi’s surveillance and forecasting of the global economy and directs the analysis of the firm’s economics team. He interacts closely with Citi’s major institutional clients and internal risk takers, and publishes research on cross-cutting themes shaping the global economy and financial markets.
Most recently, Nathan was Chief Economist and a member of the senior investment team at PGIM Fixed Income. He also has served as Under Secretary of the U.S. Treasury for International Affairs, representing the U.S. government on international economic issues. Previously, he held positions with Citigroup, as Global Head of International Economics, and with the Federal Reserve Board, as Director of the Division of International Finance and FOMC Economist. In addition, Nathan was a senior advisor to the U.S. Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund and a visiting fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He joined Citi in October 2021.
Nathan has a bachelor’s degree in Economics from Brigham Young University and a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
